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Looking Ahead: Asia Cup 2004

A Preview on Asia Cup 2004 by Venkat

     The summer so far has given us a heavy dose of regional competitions of international repute like Euro 2004 and Copa d’America. This month is no different as 6 teams battle it out for the Asia Cup and there is only ONE winner. Just a few hours left and things look all set for the Asia cup in Sri Lanka. Can we expect the usual Asian masala of natural flair, aggression from the teams ? Can Pakistan be successful in its bid to defend its title it won in 2000 ? The next 15 days has all the answers. Cricketfundas.com gives you an exclusive preview to the Asia Cup along with stats, squad analyses (strengths/weaknesses).

India :

     The Indians are for sure a more confident lot of individuals after their recent successes in Australia and Pakistan and on form are the most likely favorites to bag the trophy. Over the past few months, Indian cricket has been plagued with a series of injury woes and we hope the one month lay-off must have given the doctor and the players some time to sort out their problems. The Indians have traditionally been a bit rusty when it comes to coming back after lay-offs, but the match schedule (1st Match vs UAE) should get them going right from ball one as there are important matches ahead (vs Sri Lanka and Phase 2 fixtures). So, if any Indian team has the chance to prove its worth in the Asia Cup and compensate for the mistakes made earlier, it’s Dada’s.

Squad Analysis :

     The Indians must have acclimatized very well to the murky and overcast conditions in Sri Lanka with their conditioning camp in Chennai. Some players re-iterated the fact that the camp had made them fitter and stronger, something which will be an important component if India were to succeed in Sri Lanka. The return of two of their mates Zaheer Khan and Harbhajan Singh must be a big morale-booster for the dressing room, but having returned from injury, only time will tell how good their performance will be. Batting has always been India’s forte and a dream line-up can only give the Sri Lankan crowd a taste of what class is all about and why the Indian batting line-up is considered the best in the world. Bowling is where India needs to improve with every match they play. The first match against UAE can in a way be used for all the experiments the bowlers want to try before the big games. Fielding, is one area where India has been improving itself in every match and it will be left for them to prove if they can indeed be considered as Asia’s best fielding side. Its not only the Asia Cup that is at stake for the Indians, but also the “official” number 2 spot on the ICC One Day International Ratings that the Kiwis had just managed to take it away after their Natwest Series win in England.

Stats :

     India has a poor tournament success rate of 36% while playing a tournament involving 3 teams or more in Sri Lanka. The last time India won a tournament in Sri Lanka was the Coca Cola Cup in 1998, where they beat Sri Lanka by 7 runs in the finals.

Sri Lanka :

     Sri Lanka’s endeavor of hosting an Asia Cup has always resulted them with the success of the tournament. They won it in 1986 for the first time under Duleep Mendis and repeated the feat in 1997 under Arjuna Ranatunga after tasting World Cup success. The key factor being that whenever the Lankan lions have played at home, the end result is a tournament success for them. Will Atapattu’s boys learn from their past mistakes and keep up the good work that their predecessors did ?? Another thing that is in the Sri Lankan side of the court is that they are the team with the maximum practice among the 6 teams that is playing the tournament and coming out of a tough tour of Australia will always do more good than harm for them.

Squad Analysis :

     The current Sri Lankan side has a good blend of youth and experience – a key combination for any successful international team. They have played quite well under the leadership of Marvan Atapattu, but it again comes down to a litmus test for the boys, which if they pass will ensure them the 2nd position in the ICC ODI table. The Australian tour has enabled Sri Lankan cricket unearth a new sensation – Lasith Malinga. After doing consistently well in Australia, the Sri Lankan public must be waiting patiently for sure to see this young star perform. And add the return of Murali to the line-up, it just doesn’t stop getting stronger. The Lankan selectors have imposed faith in some newcomers like Ferveez Maharoof and players like Avishka Gunawardena have been given a chance to come-back into reckoning and hence it becomes a doubly crucial tournament for them if they have to establish their foothold in Sri Lankan cricket. The Asia Cup is also a stonger acid test for coach John Dyson, who has recently come under intense criticism for his coaching methods. It will be really interesting to see if both mental and physical fatigue (after the tour of Australia) will have any role to play in the success or failure of the team.

Stats :

Sri Lanka win 85% of the Tournaments involving 3 or more teams when they play at home.

Pakistan :

Will the defending champions give it a go this time around too ?? Will the change in setup change the mindset of the team totally ?? Is this the Pakistan team that we have been waiting to see perform really well ?? The answers to these questions lie in the chances of the Pakistani team in this Asia Cup. As defending champions, they have to make sure that they don’t meekly surrender the trophy but at least make an effort towards defending it again. I guess one question every die-hard Pakistani fan must be asking will be “Will Bob Woolmer’s stint with Pakistan produce visible-results ??” The answer to it is “Only time and Allah can say”. Pakistan, according to me start off as underdogs and perhaps the DARK HORSES of this Asia Cup. Underestimate them at your own cost!

Squad Analysis :

According to me, this squad consists of the best players available in Pakistan today. If I could compare this Pakistani team to a Euro 2004 team, its Holland. Extremely talented, has the potential to do well, but this talent/potential is dominated by infighting, discontent, frequent spats etc. This is one aspect, where I feel the Pakistanis will let themselves down. There is no proper communication channel in this team and being banned from talking to the media doesn’t do them any good but is the only way one can expect a Pakistani team with 14 egoists go ahead with the job on hand. Apart from Inzamam Ul-Haq and Yousuf Youhanna and Shoaib Akhtar, the team lacks experience and this is where they lost the series against India. Their fielding is nothing special either, when compared to India or Sri Lanka among the Asians. I guess the Pakistanis must be thanking god for being placed in such an easy group, where they face the Asian lightweights like Bangladesh and Hong Kong. But if they go with a complacent attitude towards the game on hand and the opponent, it’ll pay them dear in the later stages of the tournament. I don’t expect Pakistan to win the tournament, but expect them to perform well above the expectations, seeing the decline in their form and commitment of the players to play for their country.

Stats :

Pakistan has a success rate of 30% when they are involved in a tournament with 3 or more teams in Sri Lanka.

Bangladesh :

At last, they have announced themselves in International cricket. After a pre-Whatmore arrival disappointing run, the Whatmore effect has raised the confidence level among the Bangladeshi boys to an extent where it never used to dream of. Having shown tremendous improvement since Whatmore signed in, the results are yet to be seen. They don’t have a promising result list to back Whatmore’s ventures. There will be something for the Bangladeshis to cheer for, as they could add yet another win under their cap by probably beating Hong Kong.

Squad Analysis :

They have been ever-improving and according to their coach, could be the potential Greeks of the Asia Cup (although winning a tournament is still a long way ahead). The Banglas have been playing as a unit under Dav Whatmore and Habibul Bashar’s captaincy and having run the Windies close in the One-Dayers will by itself give them a good amount of confidence, somewhere close to what it takes to beat a stronger nation. Their strength is disciplined bowling, good fielding and good planning. The only thing that lets them down often is their batting. Not short on talent, but only thing they are short on is temperament. If they can post good, decent scores, there is no way that they can lose without putting up a dogfight. We hope, that Bangladesh use this tournament as yet another step in their graph of improvement and can take some positives from this tournament, as they have been since Whatmore’s arrival.

UAE and Hong Kong :

The two teams, UAE and Hong Kong are essentially taking part to gain experience and make up the numbers. Both of these teams have Indian coaches – Syed Abid Ali (UAE) and Robin Singh (Hong Kong) and will be really interesting to see their roles in the overall performance of their team. Both Hong Kong and UAE will basically be trying to compete against the Asian heavyweights and gain useful experience and international exposure ahead of the ICC Trophy in 2005 in Ireland. I guess, both these teams should provide good watching and will certainly look forward to taking some good memories from Sri Lanka.

 

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